MONEYLINE
STL
+113 moneyline
STL
PROJECTION
–
DIFFERENCE
-5.99%
EV
Best Odds
+113
STL
+113 moneyline
STL
PROJECTION
–
DIFFERENCE
-5.99%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
+113
TOTAL
Over
8.5 Total
9.08
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
1.56%
EV
Best Odds
o8.5 -110
Over
8.5 Total
9.08
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
1.56%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
o8.5
-110
SPREAD
STL
+1.5 spread
0.30
PROJECTION
-1.2
DIFFERENCE
-1.93%
EV
Best Odds
+1.5 -185
STL
+1.5 spread
0.30
PROJECTION
-1.2
DIFFERENCE
-1.93%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
+1.5
-185
TOTAL HITS
0.94
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
6.83%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +190
0.94
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
6.83%
EV
The 4th-deepest RF fences among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team on the slate today.. Jakob Marsee has struggled with his Barrel%; his 8.1% rate last year has dropped off to 1.7% this year.. Jakob Marsee’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 52.8% to 35.7%.
u0.5
+190
TOTAL HITS
0.99
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
6.16%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +202
0.99
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
6.16%
EV
The 4th-deepest RF fences among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team on the slate today.. Kyle Stowers has had some very good luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .291 BA is inflated compared to his .272 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
u0.5
+202
TOTAL HITS
0.88
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
6.01%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +170
0.88
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
6.01%
EV
Ramon Urias is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Max Meyer will have the handedness advantage over Ramon Urias today.. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of every team in action today.. Ramon Urias will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
u0.5
+170
TOTAL HITS
0.93
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
4.99%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +180
0.93
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
4.99%
EV
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team on the slate today.. Liam Hicks’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 89.9-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 84-mph in the past week.
u0.5
+180
TOTAL HITS
0.72
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
4.32%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +125
0.72
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
4.32%
EV
Graham Pauley’s BABIP talent is projected in the 5th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Graham Pauley is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.. 18% of the time that Graham Pauley has started against a northpaw this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Graham Pauley pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 84th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
u0.5
+125
TOTAL HITS
0.96
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
2.59%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +180
0.96
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
2.59%
EV
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Max Meyer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Walker in today’s matchup.. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of every team in action today.. Jordan Walker will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.. Jordan Walker has been lucky this year, notching a .436 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .108 discrepancy.
u0.5
+180
TOTAL HITS
0.83
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
2.29%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +145
0.83
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
2.29%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Church in the 24th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Nathan Church is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.. Nathan Church has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 13% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.. The 4th-deepest RF fences among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.
u0.5
+145
TOTAL HITS
0.71
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
1.39%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +115
0.71
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
1.39%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 4th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Nolan Gorman has been pulled from the game early 10% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Nolan Gorman pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of every team in action today.
u0.5
+115
TOTAL HITS
1.05
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
0.79%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +200
1.05
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
0.79%
EV
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of every team in action today.. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alec Burleson today.. Alec Burleson has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .288 figure is inflated compared to his .261 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
u0.5
+200
TOTAL HITS
0.87
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
0.59%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +150
0.87
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
0.59%
EV
Connor Norby is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Michael McGreevy throws from, Connor Norby meets a tough challenge in today’s game.. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest among every team on the slate today.. Sporting a 4.5 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Connor Norby has shown poor plate discipline, ranking in the 12th percentile.
u0.5
+150
TOTAL HITS
0.83
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
0.52%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +140
0.83
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
0.52%
EV
Owen Caissie is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.. This year, Owen Caissie has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 15% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team on the slate today.. Owen Caissie has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 20% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past 7 days.
u0.5
+140
TOTAL HITS
0.94
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-0.49%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +165
0.94
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-0.49%
EV
Masyn Winn is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Max Meyer will hold the platoon advantage over Masyn Winn in today’s matchup.. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of every team in action today.. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Masyn Winn today.
u0.5
+165
TOTAL HITS
0.67
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-0.64%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +102
0.67
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-0.64%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Scott II in the 8th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Victor Scott II is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. Victor Scott II has been pulled from the game early 19% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Victor Scott II has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
u0.5
+102
TOTAL HITS
1.07
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-1.05%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +200
1.07
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-1.05%
EV
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Xavier Edwards has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest among every team on the slate today.. Xavier Edwards has been lucky this year, notching a .387 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .077 gap.
u0.5
+200
TOTAL HITS
0.96
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-2.29%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +165
0.96
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-2.29%
EV
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of every team in action today.. JJ Wetherholt will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
u0.5
+165
TOTAL HITS
0.89
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +145
0.89
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3%
EV
Thomas Saggese is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Hitting from the same side that Max Meyer throws from, Thomas Saggese encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.. Thomas Saggese has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of every team in action today.
u0.5
+145
TOTAL HITS
1.06
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-5.89%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +200
1.06
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-5.89%
EV
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Hitting from the same side that Max Meyer throws from, Ivan Herrera will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.. Ivan Herrera has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of every team in action today.. Ivan Herrera will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
u0.5
+200
TOTAL HITS
0.76
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-6.78%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +115
0.76
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-6.78%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Pages in the 12th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Pedro Pages is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.. This year, Pedro Pages has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 12% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Max Meyer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pedro Pages in today’s matchup.
u0.5
+115
TOTAL HITS
1.15
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-8.83%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 -275
1.15
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-8.83%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 15th-best batter in MLB when estimating his batting average skill.. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Otto Lopez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
o0.5
-275
TOTAL BASES
1.67
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
10.19%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +140
1.67
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
10.19%
EV
When it comes to his home run talent, Jordan Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Jordan Walker has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 11.2% rate last year to 23.1% this year.
o1.5
+140
TOTAL BASES
0.83
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
8.49%
EV
Best Odds
u1.5 -220
0.83
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
8.49%
EV
Owen Caissie is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.. This year, Owen Caissie has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 15% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst venue in MLB for LHB home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team on the slate today.
u1.5
-220
TOTAL BASES
1.37
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
8.06%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +190
1.37
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
8.06%
EV
In MLB, LoanDepot Park’s CF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.
o1.5
+190
TOTAL BASES
0.71
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
7.67%
EV
Best Odds
u1.5 -275
0.71
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
7.67%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 4th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Nolan Gorman has been pulled from the game early 10% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst venue in MLB for LHB home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Nolan Gorman pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.
u1.5
-275
TOTAL BASES
1.80
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
6.53%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +110
1.80
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
6.53%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an edge in today’s game.. Kyle Stowers has big-time HR ability (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (28.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Michael McGreevy has a pitch-to-contact profile (16th percentile K%) — great news for Stowers.
o1.5
+110
TOTAL BASES
0.72
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
6.41%
EV
Best Odds
u1.5 -290
0.72
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
6.41%
EV
Graham Pauley’s BABIP talent is projected in the 5th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Graham Pauley is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.. 18% of the time that Graham Pauley has started against a northpaw this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst venue in MLB for LHB home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.
u1.5
-290
TOTAL BASES
1.34
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
6.22%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +190
1.34
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
6.22%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. In MLB, LoanDepot Park’s CF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Connor Norby will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Connor Norby has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph to 90.7-mph over the past 7 days.
o1.5
+190
TOTAL BASES
1.71
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
6.13%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +120
1.71
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
6.13%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Alec Burleson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Meyer in today’s game.. Alec Burleson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.
o1.5
+120
TOTAL BASES
1.29
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
5.77%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +202
1.29
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
5.77%
EV
Thomas Saggese’s BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (7.8) may lead us to conclude that Thomas Saggese has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his 3.5 actual HR/600.
o1.5
+202
TOTAL BASES
1.48
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
5.38%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +155
1.48
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
5.38%
EV
JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have an advantage today.. JJ Wetherholt hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.. Over the last week, JJ Wetherholt’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.1% up to 12.5%.
o1.5
+155
TOTAL BASES
1.69
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
5.22%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +120
1.69
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
5.22%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 15th-best batter in MLB when estimating his batting average skill.. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Otto Lopez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
o1.5
+120
TOTAL BASES
1.64
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.5%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +125
1.64
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.5%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Ivan Herrera has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 8.8% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the past week.. Ivan Herrera has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 89.8-mph EV.
o1.5
+125
TOTAL BASES
1.37
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.22%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +175
1.37
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.22%
EV
In MLB, LoanDepot Park’s CF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Ramon Urias has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 93.3-mph mark.
o1.5
+175
TOTAL BASES
0.67
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
4.1%
EV
Best Odds
u1.5 -360
0.67
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
4.1%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Scott II in the 8th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Victor Scott II is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. Victor Scott II has been pulled from the game early 19% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst venue in MLB for LHB home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.
u1.5
-360
TOTAL BASES
1.36
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
2.54%
EV
Best Odds
u1.5 -130
1.36
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
2.54%
EV
As it relates to his home run ability, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst venue in MLB for LHB home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Xavier Edwards has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest among every team on the slate today.
u1.5
-130
TOTAL BASES
1.34
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.51%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +155
1.34
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.51%
EV
Liam Hicks is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Liam Hicks will have an edge in today’s matchup.. Liam Hicks hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Liam Hicks will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
o1.5
+155
TOTAL BASES
1.17
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-5.15%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +200
1.17
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-5.15%
EV
The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Nathan Church will have an advantage in today’s game.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.262) implies that Nathan Church has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .239 actual wOBA.
o1.5
+200
TOTAL BASES
1.47
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-5.63%
EV
Best Odds
u1.5 -140
1.47
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-5.63%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst venue in MLB for LHB home runs.. The 4th-deepest RF fences among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team on the slate today.. Jakob Marsee has struggled with his Barrel%; his 8.1% rate last year has dropped off to 1.7% this year.
u1.5
-140
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.10
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
12.92%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +1220
0.10
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
12.92%
EV
The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Graham Pauley will have an edge in today’s game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Graham Pauley will hold that advantage in today’s game.
o0.5
+1220
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.10
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
6.21%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +1080
0.10
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
6.21%
EV
In MLB, LoanDepot Park’s CF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Ramon Urias has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 93.3-mph mark.
o0.5
+1080
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.13
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
6.12%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +820
0.13
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
6.12%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Ivan Herrera has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 8.8% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the past week.. Ivan Herrera has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 89.8-mph EV.
o0.5
+820
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.09
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
0.81%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +1120
0.09
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
0.81%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Otto Lopez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
o0.5
+1120
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.16
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
0.79%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +610
0.16
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
0.79%
EV
When it comes to his home run talent, Jordan Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Jordan Walker has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 11.2% rate last year to 23.1% this year.
o0.5
+610
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.02
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-1.89%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -2500
0.02
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-1.89%
EV
As it relates to his home run ability, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst venue in MLB for LHB home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Xavier Edwards has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.. Xavier Edwards has been lucky this year, notching a .387 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .077 gap.
u0.5
-2500
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.09
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3.74%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -1099
0.09
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3.74%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst venue in MLB for LHB home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. JJ Wetherholt will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
u0.5
-1099
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.19
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-4.12%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -500
0.19
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-4.12%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst venue in MLB for LHB home runs.. The 4th-deepest RF fences among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.
u0.5
-500
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.11
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.32%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -952
0.11
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.32%
EV
Owen Caissie is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.. This year, Owen Caissie has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 15% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst venue in MLB for LHB home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Owen Caissie has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 20% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past 7 days.
u0.5
-952
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.04
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-4.42%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -3448
0.04
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-4.42%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Scott II in the 8th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Victor Scott II is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. Victor Scott II has been pulled from the game early 19% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst venue in MLB for LHB home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.
u0.5
-3448
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.07
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.52%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -1695
0.07
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.52%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liam Hicks in the 14th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst venue in MLB for LHB home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Liam Hicks’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 89.9-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 84-mph in the past week.. Liam Hicks’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 19.3% on the season to 11.8% in the past week’s worth of games.
u0.5
-1695
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.09
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.77%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -1299
0.09
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.77%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst venue in MLB for LHB home runs.. The 4th-deepest RF fences among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Jakob Marsee has struggled with his Barrel%; his 8.1% rate last year has dropped off to 1.7% this year.. In the last week’s worth of games, Jakob Marsee has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power).
u0.5
-1299
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.07
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.19%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -2000
0.07
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.19%
EV
Masyn Winn is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst park in the league for righty home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Max Meyer will hold the platoon advantage over Masyn Winn in today’s matchup.. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Masyn Winn today.
u0.5
-2000
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.08
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.3%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -1695
0.08
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.3%
EV
Connor Norby is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst park in the league for righty home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Michael McGreevy throws from, Connor Norby meets a tough challenge in today’s game.. Sporting a 4.5 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Connor Norby has shown poor plate discipline, ranking in the 12th percentile.
u0.5
-1695
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.06
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.68%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -3030
0.06
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.68%
EV
Thomas Saggese is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst park in the league for righty home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Hitting from the same side that Max Meyer throws from, Thomas Saggese encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.. Thomas Saggese has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
u0.5
-3030
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.14
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.75%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -847
0.14
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.75%
EV
Nolan Gorman has been pulled from the game early 10% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst venue in MLB for LHB home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Nolan Gorman pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.. Nolan Gorman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
u0.5
-847
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.15
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-6.5%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -847
0.15
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-6.5%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst venue in MLB for LHB home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alec Burleson today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alec Burleson’s true offensive ability to be a .338, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .035 disparity between that mark and his actual .373 wOBA.
u0.5
-847
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.08
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-26.34%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +1000
0.08
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-26.34%
EV
The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Over the last week, Pedro Pages’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 96.2-mph of late.
o0.5
+1000
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.05
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +1120
0.05
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Nathan Church will have an advantage in today’s game.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.262) implies that Nathan Church has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .239 actual wOBA.
o0.5
+1120
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
3.26
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
-2.2%
EV
Best Odds
o2.5 -165
3.26
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
-2.2%
EV
The Miami Marlins have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyle Stowers, Owen Caissie, Connor Norby).. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Michael McGreevy has relied on his secondary offerings 5.6% more often this season (58.7%) than he did last year (53.1%).. Considering the 0.68 disparity between Michael McGreevy’s 5.37 K/9 and his 6.05 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and should perform better in the future.
o2.5
-165
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
5.03
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.92%
EV
Best Odds
u5.5 -159
5.03
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.92%
EV
Max Meyer has averaged 84.8 adjusted pitches per GS this year, checking in at the 24th percentile.. It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Scott Barry) behind the plate in this game.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Given the 1.1 disparity between Max Meyer’s 9.39 K/9 and his 8.29 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the league since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and figures to perform worse in the future.
u5.5
-159
TOTAL RBIS
0.67
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
10.31%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +145
0.67
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
10.31%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an edge in today’s game.. Kyle Stowers has big-time HR ability (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (28.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Michael McGreevy has a pitch-to-contact profile (16th percentile K%) — great news for Stowers.
o0.5
+145
TOTAL RBIS
0.39
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
10.24%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +270
0.39
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
10.24%
EV
In MLB, LoanDepot Park’s CF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.
o0.5
+270
TOTAL RBIS
0.41
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
10.2%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +255
0.41
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
10.2%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. In MLB, LoanDepot Park’s CF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Connor Norby will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Connor Norby has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph to 90.7-mph over the past 7 days.
o0.5
+255
TOTAL RBIS
0.59
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
9.55%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +165
0.59
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
9.55%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 15th-best batter in MLB when estimating his batting average skill.. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Otto Lopez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
o0.5
+165
TOTAL RBIS
0.52
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
9.28%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +190
0.52
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
9.28%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Ivan Herrera has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 8.8% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the past week.. Ivan Herrera has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 89.8-mph EV.
o0.5
+190
TOTAL RBIS
0.37
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
9.25%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +280
0.37
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
9.25%
EV
Thomas Saggese’s BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (7.8) may lead us to conclude that Thomas Saggese has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his 3.5 actual HR/600.
o0.5
+280
TOTAL RBIS
0.63
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
8.89%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +150
0.63
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
8.89%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Alec Burleson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Meyer in today’s game.. Alec Burleson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.
o0.5
+150
TOTAL RBIS
0.63
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
8.89%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +150
0.63
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
8.89%
EV
When it comes to his home run talent, Jordan Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Jordan Walker has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 11.2% rate last year to 23.1% this year.
o0.5
+150
TOTAL RBIS
0.49
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
7.43%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +195
0.49
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
7.43%
EV
Nolan Gorman is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge in today’s game.. Compared to his seasonal average of 23.4°, Nolan Gorman has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 46.7° angle in the past week.
o0.5
+195
TOTAL RBIS
0.44
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
6.1%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +215
0.44
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
6.1%
EV
In MLB, LoanDepot Park’s CF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Ramon Urias has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 93.3-mph mark.
o0.5
+215
TOTAL RBIS
0.47
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
5.1%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +195
0.47
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
5.1%
EV
As it relates to his BABIP ability, Owen Caissie is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Owen Caissie will have the handedness advantage over Michael McGreevy in today’s game.. Owen Caissie hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Owen Caissie will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
o0.5
+195
TOTAL RBIS
0.43
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
3.46%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +210
0.43
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
3.46%
EV
Jakob Marsee is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Jakob Marsee will have an advantage in today’s matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jakob Marsee will hold that advantage today.. When it comes to his batting average, Jakob Marsee has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .253 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .289.
o0.5
+210
TOTAL RBIS
0.41
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
2.92%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +220
0.41
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
2.92%
EV
The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Graham Pauley will have an edge in today’s game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Graham Pauley will hold that advantage in today’s game.
o0.5
+220
TOTAL RBIS
0.40
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-1.67%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +210
0.40
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-1.67%
EV
JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have an advantage today.. JJ Wetherholt hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.. Over the last week, JJ Wetherholt’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.1% up to 12.5%.
o0.5
+210
TOTAL RBIS
0.37
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-3.09%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +225
0.37
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-3.09%
EV
The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Over the last week, Pedro Pages’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 96.2-mph of late.. Pedro Pages’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 38.4% to 48.4%.
o0.5
+225
TOTAL RBIS
0.44
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.21%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -200
0.44
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.21%
EV
As it relates to his home run ability, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst venue in MLB for LHB home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Xavier Edwards has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest among every team on the slate today.
u0.5
-200
TOTAL RBIS
0.45
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.66%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +165
0.45
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.66%
EV
Liam Hicks is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Liam Hicks will have an edge in today’s matchup.. Liam Hicks hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Liam Hicks will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
o0.5
+165
TOTAL RBIS
0.27
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-7.13%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -400
0.27
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-7.13%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Scott II in the 8th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Victor Scott II is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. Victor Scott II has been pulled from the game early 19% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst venue in MLB for LHB home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.
u0.5
-400
TOTAL RBIS
0.33
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-8.47%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -325
0.33
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-8.47%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Church in the 12th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Nathan Church is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.. Nathan Church has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 13% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst venue in MLB for LHB home runs.. The 4th-deepest RF fences among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park.
u0.5
-325
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
2.40
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
8.37%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 -148
2.40
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
8.37%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an edge in today’s game.. Kyle Stowers has big-time HR ability (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (28.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Michael McGreevy has a pitch-to-contact profile (16th percentile K%) — great news for Stowers.
o1.5
-148
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
2.13
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
7.45%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 -122
2.13
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
7.45%
EV
When it comes to his home run talent, Jordan Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Jordan Walker has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 11.2% rate last year to 23.1% this year.
o1.5
-122
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
2.25
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
7.11%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 -137
2.25
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
7.11%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Alec Burleson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Meyer in today’s game.. Alec Burleson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.
o1.5
-137
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
2.20
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
5.79%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 -137
2.20
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
5.79%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Ivan Herrera has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 8.8% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the past week.. Ivan Herrera has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 89.8-mph EV.
o1.5
-137
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
1.77
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
5.3%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +110
1.77
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
5.3%
EV
As it relates to his BABIP ability, Owen Caissie is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Owen Caissie will have the handedness advantage over Michael McGreevy in today’s game.. Owen Caissie hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Owen Caissie will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
o1.5
+110
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
1.69
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
5.22%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +120
1.69
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
5.22%
EV
Nolan Gorman is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge in today’s game.. Compared to his seasonal average of 23.4°, Nolan Gorman has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 46.7° angle in the past week.
o1.5
+120
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
2.26
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
4.66%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 -150
2.26
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
4.66%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 15th-best batter in MLB when estimating his batting average skill.. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Otto Lopez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
o1.5
-150
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
1.74
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
3.95%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +110
1.74
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
3.95%
EV
In MLB, LoanDepot Park’s CF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Ramon Urias has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 93.3-mph mark.
o1.5
+110
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
1.72
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
2.98%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +110
1.72
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
2.98%
EV
In MLB, LoanDepot Park’s CF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.
o1.5
+110
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
1.56
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
2.58%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +132
1.56
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
2.58%
EV
The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Graham Pauley will have an edge in today’s game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Graham Pauley will hold that advantage in today’s game.
o1.5
+132
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
1.63
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
2.14%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +120
1.63
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
2.14%
EV
Thomas Saggese’s BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (7.8) may lead us to conclude that Thomas Saggese has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his 3.5 actual HR/600.
o1.5
+120
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
1.73
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
1.45%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +105
1.73
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
1.45%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. In MLB, LoanDepot Park’s CF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Connor Norby will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Connor Norby has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph to 90.7-mph over the past 7 days.
o1.5
+105
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
1.96
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
0.77%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 -125
1.96
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
0.77%
EV
JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have an advantage today.. JJ Wetherholt hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.. Over the last week, JJ Wetherholt’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.1% up to 12.5%.
o1.5
-125
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
1.50
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-1.34%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +132
1.50
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-1.34%
EV
The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Over the last week, Pedro Pages’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 96.2-mph of late.. Pedro Pages’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 38.4% to 48.4%.
o1.5
+132
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
2.01
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-1.61%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 -140
2.01
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-1.61%
EV
Jakob Marsee is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Jakob Marsee will have an advantage in today’s matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jakob Marsee will hold that advantage today.. When it comes to his batting average, Jakob Marsee has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .253 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .289.
o1.5
-140
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
1.86
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-2.1%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 -120
1.86
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-2.1%
EV
Liam Hicks is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Liam Hicks will have an edge in today’s matchup.. Liam Hicks hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Liam Hicks will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
o1.5
-120
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
1.25
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-3.1%
EV
Best Odds
u1.5 -179
1.25
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-3.1%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Scott II in the 8th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Victor Scott II is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. Victor Scott II has been pulled from the game early 19% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst venue in MLB for LHB home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.
u1.5
-179
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
1.91
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-7.94%
EV
Best Odds
u1.5 +119
1.91
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-7.94%
EV
As it relates to his home run ability, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst venue in MLB for LHB home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Xavier Edwards has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team on the slate today.
u1.5
+119
