MONEYLINE
MIL
-105 moneyline
MIL
PROJECTION
–
DIFFERENCE
-0.7%
EV
Best Odds
+100
MIL
-105 moneyline
MIL
PROJECTION
–
DIFFERENCE
-0.7%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
+100
TOTAL
Over
8.0 Total
8.75
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
-5.06%
EV
Best Odds
o8.0 -110
Over
8.0 Total
8.75
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
-5.06%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
o8.0
-110
SPREAD
MIL
+1.5 spread
-0.19
PROJECTION
-1.7
DIFFERENCE
1.1%
EV
Best Odds
+1.5 -215
MIL
+1.5 spread
-0.19
PROJECTION
-1.7
DIFFERENCE
1.1%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
+1.5
-215
TOTAL HITS
0.88
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
6.01%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +170
0.88
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
6.01%
EV
Among all parks, LoanDepot Park’s RF dimensions are the 4th-deepest.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. This season, Jakob Marsee’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 8.1% last year to just 1.9% this year.. Jakob Marsee has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.4-mph dropping to 81.2-mph over the last 7 days.. In the past 7 days, Jakob Marsee’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 36.5%.
u0.5
+170
TOTAL HITS
0.81
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
2.59%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +141
0.81
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
2.59%
EV
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Jake Bauers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 85th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake Bauers in today’s game.. Jake Bauers’s launch angle this season (6.2°) is significantly worse than his 16.6° figure last season.. Compiling a -0.6° launch angle over the last two weeks suggests that Jake Bauers has been finding it challenging to lift the ball of late, which is a key component of hitting for power.
u0.5
+141
TOTAL HITS
0.71
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
2.56%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +118
0.71
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
2.56%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Hamilton in the 15th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. David Hamilton is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.. 15% of the time that David Hamilton has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. David Hamilton has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
u0.5
+118
TOTAL HITS
1.03
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
2.5%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +191
1.03
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
2.5%
EV
Among all parks, LoanDepot Park’s RF dimensions are the 4th-deepest.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Sal Frelick will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.. In the past two weeks, Sal Frelick’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 86 mph to 79.7 mph.. Sal Frelick’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 41.1% to 34.9%.
u0.5
+191
TOTAL HITS
1.07
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
1.89%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +210
1.07
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
1.89%
EV
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Xavier Edwards has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.. Xavier Edwards has been lucky this year, putting up a .384 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .306 — a .078 disparity.. Xavier Edwards’s 1.1% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) is in the 2nd percentile since the start of last season.
u0.5
+210
TOTAL HITS
1.04
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
1.66%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +200
1.04
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
1.66%
EV
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44%) and will be challenged by the game’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brice Turang in today’s game.. This season, there has been a decline in Brice Turang’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.93 ft/sec last year to 28.36 ft/sec currently.. Brice Turang has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .353 figure is quite a bit higher than his .338 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
u0.5
+200
TOTAL HITS
1.08
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
1.03%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +202
1.08
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
1.03%
EV
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Hitting from the same side that Janson Junk throws from, William Contreras will have a tough matchup in today’s game.. William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.. William Contreras’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 9.6% to 6%.. In the past two weeks, William Contreras has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.
u0.5
+202
TOTAL HITS
0.92
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-0.4%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +160
0.92
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-0.4%
EV
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Luis Rengifo ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Luis Rengifo is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. Among all parks, LoanDepot Park’s RF dimensions are the 4th-deepest.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Luis Rengifo will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Janson Junk in this game.
u0.5
+160
TOTAL HITS
0.87
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-0.53%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +147
0.87
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-0.53%
EV
Brandon Lockridge is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Batting from the same side that Janson Junk throws from, Brandon Lockridge will be at a disadvantage today.. Brandon Lockridge has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.. Brandon Lockridge will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
u0.5
+147
TOTAL HITS
0.69
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-1.13%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +104
0.69
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-1.13%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Graham Pauley in the 5th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Graham Pauley is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.. This year, Graham Pauley has been pinch hit for in 10% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Graham Pauley pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 84th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
u0.5
+104
TOTAL HITS
0.87
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-1.65%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +144
0.87
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-1.65%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gary Sanchez in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Batting from the same side that Janson Junk throws from, Gary Sanchez will have a tough matchup in today’s game.. Gary Sanchez pulls many of his flyballs (37.9% — 94th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.. Gary Sanchez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
u0.5
+144
TOTAL HITS
0.79
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-1.74%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +125
0.79
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-1.74%
EV
Garrett Mitchell is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.. This year, Garrett Mitchell has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 10% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Garrett Mitchell has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.. Garrett Mitchell will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
u0.5
+125
TOTAL HITS
0.86
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-2.21%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +140
0.86
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-2.21%
EV
Joey Ortiz is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Hitting from the same side that Janson Junk throws from, Joey Ortiz will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.. Joey Ortiz has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.. Joey Ortiz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
u0.5
+140
TOTAL HITS
0.98
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-2.25%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 -160
0.98
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-2.25%
EV
Javier Sanoja’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. Javier Sanoja hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Javier Sanoja will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.. Javier Sanoja’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 11.6% to 16.7%.
o0.5
-160
TOTAL HITS
0.89
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +135
0.89
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3%
EV
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. By putting up a .274 BABIP since the start of last season, Liam Hicks is ranked in the 24th percentile.
u0.5
+135
TOTAL HITS
0.77
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-3.87%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +115
0.77
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-3.87%
EV
Owen Caissie is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.. This year, Owen Caissie has been pulled from the game early in 12% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Owen Caissie has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 21.4% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last 7 days.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.240) provides evidence that Owen Caissie has been lucky since the start of last season with his .291 actual wOBA.
u0.5
+115
TOTAL HITS
1.07
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-5.03%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +186
1.07
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-5.03%
EV
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Robert Gasser throws from, Otto Lopez will have an advantage in today’s matchup.. By putting up a .273 BABIP since the start of last season, Otto Lopez finds himself in the 23rd percentile.
u0.5
+186
TOTAL HITS
0.90
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.45%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 +140
0.90
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.45%
EV
Connor Norby is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Batting from the opposite that Robert Gasser throws from, Connor Norby will have an advantage today.. Checking in at the 16th percentile, the hardest ball Connor Norby has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 109 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power ability.. With a 4.43 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Connor Norby has demonstrated poor plate discipline, ranking in the 13th percentile.
u0.5
+140
TOTAL BASES
1.65
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
18%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +190
1.65
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
18%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Gary Sanchez as MLB’s 16th-best home run hitter.. Gary Sanchez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Gary Sanchez has averaged an impressive 103.8-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced indicator of home run potential.. With a 25.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Gary Sanchez grades out in the 82nd percentile for power.
o1.5
+190
TOTAL BASES
1.24
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
10.3%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +240
1.24
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
10.3%
EV
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. Joey Ortiz has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .227 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .241 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
o1.5
+240
TOTAL BASES
1.50
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
10.19%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +165
1.50
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
10.19%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 92nd percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Jake Bauers is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage over Janson Junk today.. Jake Bauers has big-time HR ability (92nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (27.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Janson Junk has a pitch-to-contact profile (21st percentile K%) — great news for Bauers.
o1.5
+165
TOTAL BASES
1.17
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
10.09%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +265
1.17
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
10.09%
EV
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. Robert Gasser will hold the platoon advantage against Graham Pauley in today’s game.. Graham Pauley will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.. In the last week’s worth of games, Graham Pauley’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.5-mph over the course of the season to 93.1-mph of late.
o1.5
+265
TOTAL BASES
1.31
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
8.86%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +210
1.31
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
8.86%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Owen Caissie as the 17th-best batter in the majors when assessing his BABIP ability.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. Robert Gasser will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Owen Caissie in today’s matchup.. Owen Caissie hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.. Owen Caissie will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
o1.5
+210
TOTAL BASES
1.72
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
8.1%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +125
1.72
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
8.1%
EV
When assessing his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.. William Contreras has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.9-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 95.5-mph.
o1.5
+125
TOTAL BASES
0.90
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
6.27%
EV
Best Odds
u1.5 -220
0.90
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
6.27%
EV
Connor Norby is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-worst ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Batting from the opposite that Robert Gasser throws from, Connor Norby will have an advantage today.. Checking in at the 16th percentile, the hardest ball Connor Norby has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 109 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power ability.
u1.5
-220
TOTAL BASES
0.71
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
6.06%
EV
Best Odds
u1.5 -300
0.71
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
6.06%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Hamilton in the 15th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. David Hamilton is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.. 15% of the time that David Hamilton has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #27 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.
u1.5
-300
TOTAL BASES
0.79
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
5.55%
EV
Best Odds
u1.5 -270
0.79
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
5.55%
EV
Garrett Mitchell is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.. This year, Garrett Mitchell has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 10% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #27 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Garrett Mitchell has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
u1.5
-270
TOTAL BASES
1.57
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.2%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +135
1.57
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.2%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Brice Turang is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Brice Turang will have an advantage in today’s matchup.. Brice Turang has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.6-mph average to last season’s 94-mph figure.
o1.5
+135
TOTAL BASES
1.07
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
4.09%
EV
Best Odds
u1.5 -179
1.07
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
4.09%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-worst ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Robert Gasser throws from, Otto Lopez will have an advantage in today’s matchup.. By putting up a .273 BABIP since the start of last season, Otto Lopez finds himself in the 23rd percentile.
u1.5
-179
TOTAL BASES
0.90
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
3.77%
EV
Best Odds
u1.5 -193
0.90
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
3.77%
EV
When estimating his home run skill, Liam Hicks ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #27 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Liam Hicks has been lucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 13.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal higher than his 8.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.. Liam Hicks has compiled a .190 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season, grading out in the 20th percentile.
u1.5
-193
TOTAL BASES
1.40
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
1.06%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +158
1.40
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
1.06%
EV
Jakob Marsee is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. Batting from the same side that Robert Gasser throws from, Jakob Marsee will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Jakob Marsee will hold that advantage today.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.289) may lead us to conclude that Jakob Marsee has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .259 actual batting average.
o1.5
+158
TOTAL BASES
0.97
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-0.57%
EV
Best Odds
u1.5 -260
0.97
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-0.57%
EV
Javier Sanoja is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-worst ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Robert Gasser throws from, Javier Sanoja will have an edge today.. In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Javier Sanoja has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.
u1.5
-260
TOTAL BASES
1.13
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-0.78%
EV
Best Odds
u1.5 -200
1.13
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-0.78%
EV
When estimating his home run talent, Brandon Lockridge ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-worst ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Batting from the same side that Janson Junk throws from, Brandon Lockridge will be at a disadvantage today.. Brandon Lockridge has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
u1.5
-200
TOTAL BASES
1.24
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-1.83%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +190
1.24
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-1.83%
EV
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. Luis Rengifo has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 7.9% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last week’s worth of games.. Luis Rengifo has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .228 BA is a good deal lower than his .272 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
o1.5
+190
TOTAL BASES
1.35
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-3.47%
EV
Best Odds
o1.5 +156
1.35
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-3.47%
EV
Xavier Edwards is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Xavier Edwards will bat from his bad side against Robert Gasser in today’s matchup.. Xavier Edwards will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Xavier Edwards’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 89.7-mph now compared to just 86.7-mph then.
o1.5
+156
TOTAL BASES
1.42
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-4.43%
EV
Best Odds
u1.5 -165
1.42
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-4.43%
EV
When it comes to his home run talent, Sal Frelick ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #27 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, LoanDepot Park’s RF dimensions are the 4th-deepest.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Sal Frelick will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
u1.5
-165
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.21
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
5.86%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +490
0.21
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
5.86%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Gary Sanchez as MLB’s 16th-best home run hitter.. Gary Sanchez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Gary Sanchez has averaged an impressive 103.8-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced indicator of home run potential.. In the last week’s worth of games, Gary Sanchez has posted a 31.3° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.
o0.5
+490
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.17
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
1.24%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +550
0.17
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
1.24%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 92nd percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Jake Bauers is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage over Janson Junk today.. Jake Bauers has big-time HR ability (92nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (27.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Janson Junk has a pitch-to-contact profile (21st percentile K%) — great news for Bauers.
o0.5
+550
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.10
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
0.54%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +1000
0.10
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
0.54%
EV
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. Robert Gasser will hold the platoon advantage against Graham Pauley in today’s game.. Graham Pauley will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.. In the last week’s worth of games, Graham Pauley’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.5-mph over the course of the season to 93.1-mph of late.. There has been a significant improvement in Graham Pauley’s launch angle from last season’s 17.3° to 20.4° this year.
o0.5
+1000
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.14
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
0.41%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +680
0.14
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
0.41%
EV
When assessing his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.. William Contreras has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.9-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 95.5-mph.
o0.5
+680
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.02
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-2.22%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -2778
0.02
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-2.22%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 1st percentile when assessing his home run ability.. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #27 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Xavier Edwards has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.. Xavier Edwards has been lucky this year, putting up a .384 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .306 — a .078 disparity.
u0.5
-2778
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.09
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-2.69%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -952
0.09
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-2.69%
EV
LoanDepot Park profiles as the #27 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44%) and will be challenged by the game’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brice Turang in today’s game.. Brice Turang has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 17.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is inflated compared to his 11.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
u0.5
-952
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.02
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-2.8%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -3448
0.02
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-2.8%
EV
When estimating his home run talent, Brandon Lockridge ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lockridge is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-worst ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Batting from the same side that Janson Junk throws from, Brandon Lockridge will be at a disadvantage today.
u0.5
-3448
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.05
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-2.9%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -1695
0.05
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-2.9%
EV
When it comes to his home run talent, Sal Frelick ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #27 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, LoanDepot Park’s RF dimensions are the 4th-deepest.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Sal Frelick will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
u0.5
-1695
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.09
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3.07%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -1000
0.09
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3.07%
EV
Garrett Mitchell is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.. This year, Garrett Mitchell has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 10% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #27 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Garrett Mitchell has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
u0.5
-1000
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.04
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.18%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -2222
0.04
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.18%
EV
When assessing his home run skill, Javier Sanoja ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Javier Sanoja is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-worst ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Robert Gasser throws from, Javier Sanoja will have an edge today.
u0.5
-2222
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.04
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.57%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -2500
0.04
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.57%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 6th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Luis Rengifo is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #27 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, LoanDepot Park’s RF dimensions are the 4th-deepest.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.
u0.5
-2500
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.07
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.22%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -1587
0.07
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.22%
EV
When estimating his home run skill, Liam Hicks ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #27 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Liam Hicks’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 21.5% to 18.4%.. Liam Hicks has been cold of late, putting up a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) over the past 14 days.
u0.5
-1587
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.09
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.33%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -1205
0.09
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.33%
EV
Connor Norby is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-worst ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Batting from the opposite that Robert Gasser throws from, Connor Norby will have an advantage today.. Checking in at the 16th percentile, the hardest ball Connor Norby has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 109 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power ability.
u0.5
-1205
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.08
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.42%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -1408
0.08
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.42%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-worst ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Robert Gasser throws from, Otto Lopez will have an advantage in today’s matchup.. Despite posting a .384 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Otto Lopez has had positive variance on his side given the .059 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .325.
u0.5
-1408
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.10
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.54%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -1099
0.10
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.54%
EV
LoanDepot Park profiles as the #27 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, LoanDepot Park’s RF dimensions are the 4th-deepest.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. This season, Jakob Marsee’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 8.1% last year to just 1.9% this year.. Jakob Marsee has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.4-mph dropping to 81.2-mph over the last 7 days.
u0.5
-1099
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.07
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.19%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -2000
0.07
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.19%
EV
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, David Hamilton ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. David Hamilton is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.. 15% of the time that David Hamilton has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #27 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.
u0.5
-2000
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.11
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.32%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -1099
0.11
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.32%
EV
Owen Caissie is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.. This year, Owen Caissie has been pulled from the game early in 12% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #27 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Owen Caissie has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 21.4% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last 7 days.
u0.5
-1099
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.06
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.97%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -3448
0.06
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.97%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Ortiz in the 19th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Joey Ortiz is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-worst ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Hitting from the same side that Janson Junk throws from, Joey Ortiz will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.
u0.5
-3448
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
CC
3.82
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
1.31%
EV
Best Odds
u3.5 +125
CC
3.82
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
1.31%
EV
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Coleman Crow is projected to throw 81 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least of all pitchers on the slate.. Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-prone lineup today is the Miami Marlins with a 19.6% underlying K%.. It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Derek Thomas) behind the plate in today’s game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Coleman Crow in today’s matchup.
u3.5
+125
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
4.08
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-3.47%
EV
Best Odds
o3.5 -139
4.08
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-3.47%
EV
The Milwaukee Brewers have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jake Bauers, Greg Jones, Garrett Mitchell, Gary Sanchez).. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Janson Junk will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats across the board.. It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Janson Junk has utilized his non-fastballs 8% more often this year (70.2%) than he did last season (62.2%).
o3.5
-139
TOTAL RBIS
0.71
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
18.22%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +182
0.71
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
18.22%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Gary Sanchez as MLB’s 16th-best home run hitter.. Gary Sanchez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Gary Sanchez has averaged an impressive 103.8-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced indicator of home run potential.. With a 25.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Gary Sanchez grades out in the 82nd percentile for power.
o0.5
+182
TOTAL RBIS
0.45
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
14.04%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +255
0.45
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
14.04%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Owen Caissie as the 17th-best batter in the majors when assessing his BABIP ability.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. Robert Gasser will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Owen Caissie in today’s matchup.. Owen Caissie hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.. Owen Caissie will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
o0.5
+255
TOTAL RBIS
0.57
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
13.87%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +195
0.57
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
13.87%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 92nd percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Jake Bauers is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage over Janson Junk today.. Jake Bauers has big-time HR ability (92nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (27.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Janson Junk has a pitch-to-contact profile (21st percentile K%) — great news for Bauers.
o0.5
+195
TOTAL RBIS
0.56
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
12.41%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +190
0.56
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
12.41%
EV
When assessing his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.. William Contreras has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.9-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 95.5-mph.
o0.5
+190
TOTAL RBIS
0.40
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
12.11%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +275
0.40
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
12.11%
EV
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. Robert Gasser will hold the platoon advantage against Graham Pauley in today’s game.. Graham Pauley will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.. In the last week’s worth of games, Graham Pauley’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.5-mph over the course of the season to 93.1-mph of late.
o0.5
+275
TOTAL RBIS
0.44
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
9.41%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +231
0.44
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
9.41%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. The 4th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. Connor Norby will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Connor Norby’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 18.3% to 26.8%.
o0.5
+231
TOTAL RBIS
0.49
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
8.97%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +202
0.49
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
8.97%
EV
Liam Hicks is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. Robert Gasser will have the handedness advantage over Liam Hicks in today’s game.. Liam Hicks hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Liam Hicks will hold that advantage in today’s game.
o0.5
+202
TOTAL RBIS
0.50
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
8.47%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +195
0.50
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
8.47%
EV
When assessing his batting average ability, Otto Lopez is projected as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Otto Lopez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. Otto Lopez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today’s game.
o0.5
+195
TOTAL RBIS
0.54
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
7.71%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +175
0.54
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
7.71%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Brice Turang is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Brice Turang will have an advantage in today’s matchup.. Brice Turang has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.6-mph average to last season’s 94-mph figure.
o0.5
+175
TOTAL RBIS
0.41
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
5.35%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +230
0.41
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
5.35%
EV
Jakob Marsee is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. Batting from the same side that Robert Gasser throws from, Jakob Marsee will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Jakob Marsee will hold that advantage today.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.289) may lead us to conclude that Jakob Marsee has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .259 actual batting average.
o0.5
+230
TOTAL RBIS
0.36
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
1.47%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +250
0.36
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
1.47%
EV
Javier Sanoja’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. Javier Sanoja hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Javier Sanoja will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.. Javier Sanoja’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 11.6% to 16.7%.
o0.5
+250
TOTAL RBIS
0.40
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
1.22%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +220
0.40
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
1.22%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell as the 19th-best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP ability.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. Garrett Mitchell will hold the platoon advantage against Janson Junk in today’s game.. Garrett Mitchell has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 101.1-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 96.8-mph figure.. In the last 14 days, Garrett Mitchell’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 20% up to 30.8%.
o0.5
+220
TOTAL RBIS
0.37
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
0.93%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +240
0.37
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
0.93%
EV
The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 9° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Joey Ortiz has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .227 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .241 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
o0.5
+240
TOTAL RBIS
0.34
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-2.78%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +250
0.34
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-2.78%
EV
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. Luis Rengifo has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 7.9% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last week’s worth of games.. Luis Rengifo has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .228 BA is a good deal lower than his .272 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
o0.5
+250
TOTAL RBIS
0.29
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-5.21%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -325
0.29
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-5.21%
EV
When estimating his home run talent, Brandon Lockridge ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-worst ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Batting from the same side that Janson Junk throws from, Brandon Lockridge will be at a disadvantage today.. Brandon Lockridge has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
u0.5
-325
TOTAL RBIS
0.34
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-6.22%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -280
0.34
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-6.22%
EV
When it comes to his home run talent, Sal Frelick ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #27 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, LoanDepot Park’s RF dimensions are the 4th-deepest.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Sal Frelick will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
u0.5
-280
TOTAL RBIS
0.36
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.34%
EV
Best Odds
o0.5 +219
0.36
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.34%
EV
Xavier Edwards is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate.. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Xavier Edwards will bat from his bad side against Robert Gasser in today’s matchup.. Xavier Edwards will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Xavier Edwards’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 89.7-mph now compared to just 86.7-mph then.
o0.5
+219
TOTAL RBIS
0.34
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-7.22%
EV
Best Odds
u0.5 -295
0.34
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-7.22%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Hamilton in the 15th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. David Hamilton is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.. 15% of the time that David Hamilton has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #27 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.
u0.5
-295
